Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Sales of existing homes showed another gain in May

Sales of existing homes showed another gain in May, benefiting from favorable affordability conditions and a first-time buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®. May's increase was the first back-to-back monthly gain since September 2005.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.77 million units in May from a downwardly revised level of 4.66 million units in April, but remained 3.6 percent below the 4.95 million-unit pace in May 2008.

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Dollar stays up as ongoing jobless claims improve - MarketWatch

Dollar stays up as ongoing jobless claims improve - MarketWatch

Posted using ShareThis

Initial Unemployment claim up 0.49; better than estimate

Initial Claims of unemployment up by 0.49%  better than average analyst estimate of 610K (bloomberg est).

In the week ending June 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 608,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 605,000. The 4-week moving average was 615,750, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week's revised average of 622,750.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Week 06/13 Jobless Claim Concensus

As per bloomberg the Jobless claims to rise to 610K (concensus est). Read more...

Whats up with housing data release in June

Mortgage Housing series update

Though housing construction make up 3% of US economy, but acts as a economic bellwether. So what does housing start jump in May 2009 reflect. To understand more about it read the article "Are housing starts a sign of the bottom? "

Bloomberg report that U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index Fell 16 Percent Last Week - Mortgage applications in the U.S. fell last week to the lowest level since November as the jump in borrowing costs over the last month caused refinancing to plunge further. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s index of applications to purchase a home or refinance a loan dropped 16 percent to 514.4 in the week ended June 12, from 611 the prior week. The group’s refinancing gauge declined 23 percent, while the purchase index fell 3.5 percent.

Futures & CPI

Marketwatch reports U.S. stock futures were trading in a tight range Wednesday, with FedEx's gloomy outlook keeping markets under pressure after two sessions of heavy losses. U.S. consumer prices increased a below-forecast 0.1% in May as higher gasoline prices were largely offset by falling food prices, the Labor Department reported Wednesday.It was the first increase in the consumer price index in three months. The core CPI - which excludes often-volatile food and energy prices -- also rose a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in May. The CPI has fallen 1.3% in the past year, the sharpest decline in prices since April 1950. (Bestbuy bellwether for the retial stock as per marketplace article)

Monday, June 15, 2009

Golden Cross yet to be achived for S&P 500 - Bloomberg

June 15 (Bloomberg) -- The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may limp on its way toward a so-called golden cross as trading volume decreases, according to a technical analyst at RBC Capital Markets.

The major stock indexes “are back above their 200-day averages, and it’s increasingly tempting to conclude that a new bull market is underway,” Toronto-based Ray Hanson wrote in a report dated June 12. However, the S&P 500 “has not yet achieved a golden cross” and “the steadily declining volume since early May suggests caution,” he said.

Read More at Bloomberg

Futures Drop - Reason

Bloomberg Reports
Futures on the S&P 500 expiring in September decreased 1 percent to 931 at 8:44 a.m. New York time, after the benchmark index climbed 40 percent from a 12-year low March 9. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 1.1 percent to 8,643 and Nasdaq- 100 Index futures fell 0.8 percent to 1,473.5. Stocks also retreated in Europe and Asia.

“There is general concern that the three-month rally in equities means that stock prices have got ahead of reality,” said David Morrison, a London-based market strategist at GFT. “Oil and metals are sharply lower this morning and there is a growing realization that China is not yet ready to drag the global economy out of recession.”

Marketwatch Reports

In G8 meeting over the weekend - Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin reportedly said Russia has confidence in the U.S. currency. Upbeat dollar comments deflated commodity prices, hitting markets across Europe and Asia. Crude-oil futures fell 70 cents a barrel and silver and platinum futures fell.

The Empire state index fell to negative 9.4 in June from negative 4.6 in May, indicating the downturn broadened to more firms. Readings under zero indicate more firms said business was worsening than said it was improving.

CNN Money Reports

U.S. stocks were set to fall sharply Monday as a stronger dollar took momentum out of the commodities rally.

Path To Growth

Path To Growth by Spaceinthecity

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Summary - Job Numbers Treasury to Decide New Weeks Market

321,480 properties in May 2009 had foreclosure filing initiated (default notice or auctions).
As of May, one (1) in every 398 Mortgage got a foreclosure filing
Foreclosure filings dipped 6 percent in the month but increased 18 percent from May 2008, marking the third highest month on record.
one million foreclosure filings in a three-month period (March, April & May)
Temporary freezes on foreclosure activity ended in March.
RealtyTrac forecasts about 4 million foreclosure filings will be made this year on about 3.1 million households with loans. Last year, there was a record 3.1 million filings on about 2.4 million households.

Read complete report...

In another article titled "Mortgage Rates Head for 6 percent: 5 Reasons They Might Retreat", you can sense that the next week's job numbers is going to decide the trajectory of the market.

Data dive: The relative improvement of recent economic data--which has fueled optimism for a recovery--is also partly responsible for the rise in mortgage rates. "The data is not good yet, but it is at least less bad," says Richard Moody, the chief economist at Forward Capital. Over the fall and winter, 10-year treasury yields were depressed by the economic panic that boosted demand for ultrasafe government debt. But a growing sense of confidence has directed many investors to more risky assets like stocks instead of treasury bonds. As a result, treasury yields have increased, pushing mortgage rates higher. However, if future economic reports come in weaker than expected, investors could return to the safety of treasury bonds. "For example, next month's job numbers are probably going to be measurably worse than the last one," Zandi says, adding "and that will be a reminder" that the economy's troubles are not over yet.

And the other 4 reason
1. Government intervention:
3. Stock market tumble
4. Exit strategy:
5. Competition:
Read More ...

Review 2008 Foreclosure Filing stats...

Also heard

"The oil market will stabilise when the price of a barrel is at 90 dollars. This level should be reached between the middle and the end of 2010," Algeria's Energy Minister Chakib Khelil said in Algiers, according to the APS news agency.

In China - Industrial production, a key gauge of activity in factories and plants across China, grew 8.9 percent in May, the National Bureau of Statistics said -- compared to a 7.3 percent increase in April and 8.3 percent in March. Retail sales meanwhile grew 15.2 percent in May Read More...

Friday, June 12, 2009

Fortune has its list of 40 Stock

Fortune.com has posted its list of 40 stock that you can retire with.

Consumer sentiment rises to 69 in June - MarketWatch

Consumer sentiment rises to 69 in June - MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. consumer sentiment rose in June, but remained at relatively low levels, according to media reports of a survey released Friday by the University of Michigan and Reuters. The consumer sentiment index rose to 69 in mid-June from 68.7 in May. Economists were looking for a June result of 71. The index hit a 28-year low of 55.3 in November, and has averaged 88.2 over the last 10 years. Recent readings have been boosted by consumers' expectations that the end of the recession is approaching.

Posted using ShareThis

U.S. stock futures signal slightly weaker start - MarketWatch

U.S. stock futures signal slightly weaker start - MarketWatch

Posted using ShareThis

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

WSJ -- Single-Digit P/E Ratios

Low price/earnings ratios are usually easy to find, even when the broad market seems expensive. For example, the S&P 500-stock index has climbed more than 30% in three months and now trades at 22 times trailing earnings, well above stocks' 137-year average trailing P/E of 15. Still, one out of every eight index members has a P/E in single digits.

Not all low-P/E stocks are bargains, though. Modest valuations often mean earnings are expected to decline, and some declines suggest long-term decay. Others are simply temporary swings in consumer spending or raw materials prices. Shares of companies that trade cheaply because of expected, temporary earnings stumbles might be just the thing for investors worried that the broad market is priced for disappointment. For the humbly priced stocks to follow, a certain amount of anticipated disappointment is already priced in.

Chevron's earnings are expected to plunge this year but rebound sharply next year. My sympathies to the analysts who must come up with forecasts. Last summer, crude peaked at more than $145 a barrel. Just before Christmas, it fell below $35. Now it is over $70 again. Better, perhaps, to focus on the dividend yield, which stands at 3.7%, compared with about 2.3% for the broad market.

Carnival seems perfectly emblematic of the sort of pricey frolicking the middle class can do without during a recession. The stock is accordingly about half its price of two years ago. Profits are indeed expected to fall 27% in Carnival's fiscal year ending Nov. 30, but in its past two quarterly reports, the company topped estimates by double-digit percentages. One downside: Management scrapped the dividend late last year.

Archer Daniels Midland buys, stores, processes and ships crops. Over the long term, its usefulness to a hungry planet seems assured. In the short term, its profits can swing with the frenzy of a futures pit. Last quarter, the company missed earnings forecasts by 30%. The quarter before it beat estimates by 33%. The stock is nine times forecast earnings for its current fiscal year ending June 30, but 12 times next year's lower forecast. Still, the higher of the two numbers seems plenty reasonable compared with the broad stock market. Shares pay 2%. Below are listed these and two other stocks with single-digit P/Es.

—Jack Hough

Treasuries fell, pushing 10-year yields

Bloomberg Reports that
"Treasuries fell, pushing 10-year yields to the highest level since November, as the government prepared to sell $19 billion in the securities and Russia said it may switch some of its reserves from U.S. debt.
Thirty-year bond yields reached the most in a year after a Russian central bank official said the nation may buy International Monetary Fund bonds. The Federal Reserve bought $3.5 billion in debt maturing in 2019 through 2026. Today’s auction is the second of three sales this week that will raise $65 billion, part of the U.S.’s record borrowing program."

Read More ...

U.S. and China optimism lifts stock futures - MarketWatch

U.S. and China optimism lifts stock futures - MarketWatch

Posted using ShareThis

Monday, June 8, 2009

Bloomberg: Report Profits Diluted 4% by U.S

June 8 (Bloomberg) -- American common equity is increasing for the first time in five years, threatening to dilute corporate profits as companies sell a record amount of stock and cut dividends the most since 1938.

Wells Fargo & Co., ProLogis and more than 150 other companies raised $82.2 billion this quarter, beating the record pace at the height of the technology bubble in 2000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The combination of adding shares and restricting dividends will reduce annual equity returns as much as 4.1 percent, the data show.

Offerings since March 31 will increase outstanding shares in the S&P 500 by 3.4 percent on an annualized basis, adjusting for the market values of companies selling stock, data from Bloomberg and S&P show. The rise is based on S&P’s calculation of shares added or removed from the index through sales, buybacks and takeovers, known as the divisor.

The annualized increase in the S&P 500’s share count would cut estimated per-share profit this year by 3.3 percent to $57.23, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

The 46 percent decline in S&P 500 corporate earnings since its peak in the second quarter of 2007 is forcing companies to conserve cash by shrinking dividends, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Combined payouts will fall 23 percent to $21.97 per share for companies in the benchmark index this year, the most since the 36 percent drop in 1938, S&P estimates.

Dividend Yield

Cutting the dividend yield by 0.8 percentage point from last year to 2.34 percent and the dilution from share sales would cut the S&P 500’s total return by 4.1 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

While a reduction of that size represents less than a third of the average yearly increase in the index from 1982 through 2007, it’s a bigger drag in markets battered by the worst losses in 70 years, when the S&P 500 tumbled 38 percent last year. U.S. equities have returned 6 percent on average since 1900, inflation-adjusted data compiled by the London Business School and Zurich-based Credit Suisse Group AG show.

Bank Losses

U.S. financial companies accounted for almost two-thirds of about $1.5 trillion in global asset writedowns and credit losses that drove shares of banks, brokers and insurers in the S&P 500 down as much as 84 percent since their 2007 peak.

Seventy-nine financial companies sold $60.7 billion of shares this quarter, reducing the claim existing shareholders have on earnings by more than 20 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Stock sales picked up as the S&P 500 rallied 39 percent from a 12-year low in March and surpassed the record $65.6 billion from the first quarter of 2000, just as the gauge started a 49 percent plunge. The 153 companies that have sold equity since March increased their outstanding shares by an average of 23 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The U.S. will shrink by the most since 1946 this year, according to a Bloomberg survey of 61 economists. The jobless rate rose to 9.4 percent in May, a government report showed June 5. Corporate earnings are forecast to decline for two more quarters after dropping the last seven, the longest streak since the Great Depression, analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg show.

‘Rapid Return’

“What we find is that secondary-equity offerings frequently signal a view in management suites that prices are rich,” said Robert Arnott, chairman and founder of Research Affiliates, which oversees $32 billion in Newport Beach, California. “Does that mean this is an interim top? Who knows, but it would be unsurprising.”

U.S. stock futures point to weaker start - MarketWatch

U.S. stock futures point to weaker start - MarketWatch

Posted using ShareThis

Friday, June 5, 2009

No chemicals just tap water to clean - Activeion

No chemicals just tap water - Bottle costs $300

The Activeion hand-held sprayer transforms tap water into a powerful cleaner that works as well as or better than other general-purpose, commercial chemical and "green" cleaning products. Using an advanced technology, the Activeion hand-held sprayer is a general-purpose, daily-use cleaner that can be used on both hard (i.e., marble/granite and stainless steel) and soft surfaces (i.e., carpet and clothing), freeing consumers and professionals from harmful chemicals and toxins. The versatility of the product allows the user to replace many of today's most common daily-use cleaners. More video

The science of Activeion

The science that now frees you from chemicals has been used for decades in the food processing, industrial technology, and health-related industries. We’ve just taken the technology and integrated it into a sprayer for the cleaning industry.

1. Charging
A water cell applies a slight electrical charge to the tap water.

2. Transforming
The charged water passes through an ion exchange membrane, creating an oxygen-rich mixture of positive and negative nano-bubbles.

3. Cleaning
The activated water now attracts dirt like a magnet and lifts it from the surface, enabling it to be easily wiped away.

Learn how Activeion technology truly is a revolution in cleaning.

Activeion license its technology ( ec-H2O™) from Tennant Company (NYSE:TNC)- a recognized leader in designing, manufacturing and marketing solutions that help create a cleaner, safer world.

Ran Lerner Design - Waste Free Packaging

Plastarch Material ("PSM"), which is a revolutionary ecological material; is a combination of "plastic functional characteristics and starch biodegradable advantages"; and can be use for a large variety of manufacturing processes such as film blowing, injection molding, sheet extrusion, thermoforming and foaming. PSM has become part of the substitution products on plastic in which it has a very competitive price and excellent product performance in terms of durable and totally degradable under compost conditions and by incineration as well.

PSM is a polymer that is derived from the natural source of corn starch. Corn starch is a kind of polysaccharide polymer which consists of glucoses. It has two separate forms of linear and branched molecules, named as amylose and amylopectin respectively. During the modification process, corn starch is mixed with cellulose and enzymes in a large stirrer where condensation and polymerization happen to modify the starch properties. Enzyme addition and crosslink technique transforms the molecular structure of starch which has three distinguishable properties:

  • Change from hydrophile to hydrophobe
  • Change from heat sensitivity to high temperature resistance
  • Change from brittleness to plasticity

Using Moving Averages to Find Winning Stocks

Using Moving Averages to Find Winning Stocks

Shared via AddThis

US Stock Rally Evaporates After Commodity Prices Turn Lower - MarketWatch

US Stock Rally Evaporates After Commodity Prices Turn Lower - MarketWatch

Posted using ShareThis

CFO - More Companies Tripping up on Loan Covenants

A number of highly leveraged firms are now breaching the leverage ratios, fixed-charge coverage ratios, and net-worth minimums that were set in stronger, more-liquid markets. According to Standard & Poor's Leveraged Commentary & Data, there were 98 covenant amendments (publicly disclosed ones, that is) to high-yield corporate loan agreements in the first quarter of 2009, up from 62 in the previous quarter. Experts expect just as many, if not more, in the second quarter.

Number of amendments lenders made to high-yield corporate loans

Other, less-leveraged companies will also be talking to their lenders about amending covenants. (According to one academic study, between a quarter and a third of all public companies will trip a loan covenant over a 10-year period.) And the conversations may not be pleasant. When credit was abundant, many banks felt they were taken advantage of, says Steven Bavaria, managing director of leveraged finance at credit-rating agency DBRS. "The gun was at their heads to reduce fees and spreads," he says. "Now some of the same borrowers have to go hat in hand and ask for covenant relief. They shouldn't expect a warm, helping hand from the bankers." Read more...

Wednesday, June 3, 2009

FHA Loans: Return to 0% Down

A little-noticed Federal Housing Administration program will let first-time home buyers use their $8,000 tax credit for down payments or closing costs

The days of home buying with little or no money down may be back—this time thanks to Uncle Sam.

Blamed for contributing to the housing bubble, zero-down-payment loans largely vanished when the market crashed and Congress blocked seller financing for government-backed loans. Now the federal government will be forking over cash at closing. Read more

News and data that affected markets on 06/03

Worse-than-expected data on factor orders (orders rose just 0.7 percent in April when analysts had called for a 0.9 percent increase) and services industry triggered a sell-off in stocks following 4 weeks of gain. There was also profit booking transaction that move the market.

Keep a close eye on any rise in Treasury yields and a sign of weakness in dollar

On Tuesday stocks extended a rally into a fourth day following an unexpectedly big spike in pending home sales, the latest sign that the battered housing market is starting to turn around.

U.S. stocks slipped early Wednesday as new jobs data beat expectations but neverthelesss showed a continued hemorrhage of jobs in the U.S. economy.

Monday, June 1, 2009

US Stocks Higher On Global Data Pointing To Recovery - MarketWatch

US Stocks Higher On Global Data Pointing To Recovery - MarketWatch

Posted using ShareThis

U.S. stock futures advanced

June 1 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock futures advanced, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may extend gains from the first-three month winning stretch since its 2007 record, as growth in Chinese manufacturing boosted confidence the global economy is recovering.

Alcoa Inc., the largest U.S. aluminum producer, Freeport- McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. and Barrick Gold Corp. climbed with higher metals prices. Exxon Mobil Corp., the biggest U.S. oil company, and ConocoPhillips gained as crude rallied and China increased prices of gasoline and diesel by as much as 8 percent.

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index expiring in June added 1.6 percent to 932.5 at 9 a.m. in New York, even after General Motors Corp. filed for bankruptcy. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose 1.3 percent to 8,598. Nasdaq-100 Index futures climbed 1.1 percent to 1,451.

“Investors are reacting to increased optimism surrounding economic numbers,” said Peter Jankovskis, who helps manage $1.2 billion at OakBrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois. “The surge in commodities prices is an indication that people see an economic recovery taking place.”